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The storm will be encountering that exceptional ocean heat as it travels northward along the US coastline, and that is part of why it has a very good chance of becoming the most intense nor’easter we’ve yet observed.
nine times more often (see table below), consistent with what we expect to see as the globe continues to warm.
Moreover, while we’ve seen some cold weather in the eastern half of the North America (see the pattern for New Year’s Day below), the western half of North America has been unusually warm.
Indeed, most of the Northern Hemisphere, and the globe overall, have been unusually warm.
As the winds wrap around in a counter-clockwise manner, they bring all of that moisture northwest, where it is chilled and ultimately falls not as rain but snow.
As the oceans continue to warm, cold Arctic air masses collide with increasingly warm Atlantic Ocean waters.